kenny arnold

FEATURED PROJECTS

Driven by curiosity and built on purpose, this is where bold thinking meets thoughtful execution. Let’s create something meaningful together.

PROJECT


THRIFTSPOT

NYC PLAYS X KABOOM! GRANT RECIPIENT, 2021


OPPORTUNITY

Driven by curiosity and built on purpose, this is where bold thinking meets thoughtful execution. Let’s create something meaningful together.

concept

Driven by curiosity and built on purpose, this is where bold thinking meets thoughtful execution. Let’s create something meaningful together.

PROJECT


compost league

NYC PLAYS X KABOOM! GRANT RECIPIENT, 2021


OPPORTUNITY

Driven by curiosity and built on purpose, this is where bold thinking meets thoughtful execution. Let’s create something meaningful together.

concept

Driven by curiosity and built on purpose, this is where bold thinking meets thoughtful execution. Let’s create something meaningful together.

PROJECT


playpath

NYC PLAYS X KABOOM! GRANT RECIPIENT, 2021


OPPORTUNITY

In communities where children lack nearby places to play, sedentary habits form early and persist for life. The gap in accessible play infrastructure doesn't just affect children, it embeds unhealthy patterns into neighborhoods that compound into long-term public health costs.


concept

Play Path is a modular outdoor furniture system co-designed with kids to transform underserved neighborhoods, one play space at a time. A reconfigurable system of outdoor elements built to last, and meant to be rearranged. Every visit is a new experience. Every configuration is a new invitation to move, climb, connect.

PROJECT


WATERSIDE GOBBLER

NYC PLAYS X KABOOM! GRANT RECIPIENT, 2021


OPPORTUNITY

Stand near a trash can long enough and you'll witness something telling, people wanting to put waste where it belongs but often that desire, gives way to hesitation and apathy, when the “right choice” is unclear or inconvenient.

concept

The Waterside Gobbler playfully reframes the act of picking up trash with a gamified fishing experience that creates a direct, tangible relationship between citizens and the waterways they live alongside. While testing in urban canals, the response was immediate and unsolicited — applause from passing boaters, curious crowds at exhibitions, spontaneous requests to participate. The Waterside Gobbler validated a core hypothesis: the public is eager to contribute when the right tools exist

PROJECT


ATLAS CIRCULAR

NYC PLAYS X KABOOM! GRANT RECIPIENT, 2021


OPPORTUNITY

The circular economy touches every aspect of how we live — yet for most people, it remains an abstract idea rather than a daily practice. The tools and infrastructure to shop, donate, repair, and recirculate materials already exist in most communities. They're just invisible.

concept

This project makes the existing network visible. An open-source map of locally available resources for repair, reuse, upcycling, and zero-waste living — built for people and organizations who are ready to act, but don't know where to start.

Press


if design

NYC PLAYS X KABOOM! GRANT RECIPIENT, 2021


OPPORTUNITY

Contributed to the iF Design Award by representing the Ellen MacArthur Foundation as a sustainability and circular economy expert and supporting the jurors

concept

Driven by curiosity and built on purpose, this is where bold thinking meets thoughtful execution. Let’s create something meaningful together.

PROJECT


CANu Blocks

NYC PLAYS X KABOOM! GRANT RECIPIENT, 2021


OPPORTUNITY

Driven by curiosity and built on purpose, this is where bold thinking meets thoughtful execution. Let’s create something meaningful together.

concept

Driven by curiosity and built on purpose, this is where bold thinking meets thoughtful execution. Let’s create something meaningful together.

interactive tool


Critical minerals in phones

Click on an element below to learn how it is used in your cell phone.

Click a colored element to see its function, content, recycling rate, and projected demand. Click a gray element to see its status.

Not a major component
Critical risk (Level 5) — conflict / high geopolitical risk
High risk (Level 4)
Data applies to an average smartphone model (2018–2022). Content mass varies significantly by manufacturer and battery chemistry.

[S1] Orton Geological Museum, Ohio State University — ortonmuseum.osu.edu
[S2] USGS Geologic Survey (GIP 167) — pubs.usgs.gov
[S3] He et al. (2019) / Cucchiella et al. (2015) — metal content (g/unit) in smartphones
[S4] Fairphone / CompoundChem / Cobalt Institute — recycling rates and supply chain risk
[S5] IEA / Statista / Cobalt Institute Forecasts — projected demand growth to 2030, primarily driven by EVs and energy storage

OPPORTUNITY

The elements in a cellphone are increasingly valuable, yet most don’t know what’s inside

concept

Learn about the elements inside your phone based on the available research and public information

interactive tool


Electronics Lifecycle Waves

SCROLL DOWN to learn about each oncoming wave of electronics reaching their end-of-life.

200020102020203020402050
CRT Flat Panel Solar EV Battery Win10 EOL Smartphones
Select a wave above to explore it, or scroll through the cards below.
01 · Declining wave
CRT Monitors & TVs
Peak disposal: 2005–2020
~2.3
Mt stockpiled (US alone)

⚠️1–2 kg of lead per unit in funnel glass (~20% by weight)
🏭Manufacturing ended 2010–2015. Limited recycling markets cause continued stockpiling.
📋Classified as RCRA hazardous waste due to lead content.
Lead Glass Copper
02 · Active wave
First-Gen Flat Panels
Peak disposal: 2015–2025
6.5
yr avg lifespan (was 9yr)

⚠️Mercury in pre-2009 LCD backlights requires special handling
📉TV lifespan dropped from 9 years (2011) to 6.5 years (2022)
📺Production era 2005–2012 now reaching mass end-of-life
Mercury Indium Plastic Glass
03 · Emerging wave
Solar Panels
Peak disposal: 2030–2050
78
Mt global waste by 2050

⏱️25–30 year lifespan — early 2000s installations now reaching EOL
💰$15B recovery value by 2050 in silver, silicon, and copper
🚨Currently ~90% landfilled. Recycling infrastructure urgently needed.
Silicon Silver Copper Aluminum
04 · Fast growing
EV Batteries
Peak disposal: 2035–2050+
20.5
Mt end-of-life by 2040

📈343% increase from 2025 to 2030 alone (0.9Mt → 5.2Mt)
🔋Recycling capacity at ~1/3 utilization — major volume arrives late 2030s
Battery demand hits 3 TWh by 2030. Critical minerals bottleneck looming.
Lithium Cobalt Nickel Graphite
05 · Imminent
Windows 10 EOL PCs
Support ended: October 2025
240M
PCs at risk

🔒Windows 11 TPM 2.0 requirement excludes ~20% of installed base
🗑️Functional hardware made obsolete by software requirements
💡Opportunity: Linux conversion, refurbishment programs, extended support
Copper Gold REEs Plastics
06 · Continuous
Smartphones
Ongoing ~2.5yr replacement cycle
~5B
units drop out of use annually

📱16+ billion phones owned globally. 6B+ manufactured annually.
🗄️Over 50% stored obsolete in drawers — most don't reach recyclers
⚖️Part of 4.6Mt small IT category (2022). Only 22% formally recycled.
Lithium Cobalt REEs Gold Copper
The next decade is critical. Solar panels, EV batteries, and software-obsoleted PCs will create unprecedented e-waste volumes. Infrastructure built today determines whether these become waste streams or resource streams. Plan for wave timing, not current volumes.
Primary source: UN Global E-Waste Monitor 2024 (ITU/UNITAR)
Methodology: E-waste projections use sales/lifespan models with Weibull distributions fitted to empirical EU data.

By category:
CRT — EPA RCRA, Electronics Recycling Clearinghouse
Flat Panel — GEM 2020/2024 (5.9Mt in 2022)
Solar — IRENA/IEA-PVPS End-of-Life Report
EV Batteries — UNDP Analysis (2025), IEA Global EV Outlook 2025
Windows 10 — Canalys Research (Dec 2023)
Smartphones — WEEE Forum/UNITAR (Oct 2022)

OPPORTUNITY

According to the 2024 E-waste Monitor the annual generation of e-waste is on track to reach 82 million tons by 2030

concept

Each of the product categories are reaching their end-of-life in cycles. Below is an interactive timeline to explore the oncoming waves

interactive tool


Critical MINERAL DEMAND

Explore the dashboards below to visualize the demand for critical minerals and potential risks

Li
Lithium
+30% demand/yr
Co
Cobalt
70% from DRC
Ni
Nickel
+8% demand/yr
C
Graphite
80% China refining
REE
Rare Earths
60% China mining
Cu
Copper
+30% by 2040
2024 Market Value
$325 B
Energy transition minerals
2040 Projected
$770 B
NZE Scenario (2.4× growth)
Top 3 Concentration
77% avg
Mining share (up from 73%)
Refining in China
60–80%
Across all battery metals
Demand Growth by Mineral (2024–2040)
Clean energy applications driving exponential demand increases
Demand Growth Index (2024 = 100)
Clean Energy Share of Demand (%)
Lithium (9× by 2040 NZE)
Cobalt (2×)
Nickel (2×)
Graphite (4×)
Copper (+50%)

🔋 Key Demand Drivers

Electric Vehicles
  • Each EV battery requires ~200 kg of minerals
  • EVs account for 70% of cobalt demand growth
  • Lithium demand for EVs grows 9× by 2040 (NZE)
Grid & Renewables
  • Copper demand from grid expansion up 50%
  • Rare earths essential for wind turbine magnets
  • Battery storage adding significant demand
Global Supply Chain Geography
Mining and refining concentrated in few countries
Mining Production by Country (2024)
Refining/Processing by Country (2024)
🇨🇳 China
Lithium Refining65%
Cobalt Refining75%
Graphite80%
Rare Earths90%
🇨🇩 DRC
Cobalt Mining73%
Risk LevelCritical
🇮🇩 Indonesia
Nickel Mining55%
Growth Rate+25%/yr
🇦🇺 Australia
Lithium Mining46%
Risk LevelLow

⚠️ Supply Chain Vulnerabilities

  • Single point of failure: China controls 60–90% of refining for most battery metals
  • Export restrictions: Dec 2024 — China restricted exports of several rare earths
  • DRC cobalt: 73% of mining, with ongoing conflict and artisanal mining concerns
  • Lead times: New mines take ~16–20 years to develop
  • Investment slowing: 2024 investment grew only 5% (vs 14% in 2023)
Supply Concentration Risk Assessment
Top 3 countries' share of mining and refining (2024)
Lithium Mining 75% Top 3
Cobalt Mining 84% Top 3
Nickel Mining 72% Top 3
Graphite Mining 78% Top 3
Rare Earths Mining 85% Top 3
China's Refining Dominance 60–90%

🚨 N-1 Supply Risk Analysis

If the largest supplier were removed from the market, how much of global demand could be met?

  • Graphite (excl. China): Only 35% of demand could be met
  • Rare Earths (excl. China): Only 40% of demand could be met
  • Lithium (excl. Australia): 65% of demand could be met
  • Cobalt (excl. DRC): 65% of demand could be met
  • Nickel (excl. Indonesia): 70% of demand could be met
Secondary Supply & Recycling Potential
By 2040, recycling could reduce primary mineral needs by 10–30%
Recycling Potential by Mineral (% of Demand by 2040)
EV Battery End-of-Life Volume (GWh)
♻️ Copper
Current Recycling Rate35%
2040 Potential30% of demand
♻️ Lithium
Current Recycling Rate<5%
2040 Potential15% of demand
♻️ Cobalt
Current Recycling Rate15%
2040 Potential25% of demand

🔄 Circular Economy Opportunities

Battery Recycling Scale-Up
  • EV batteries reaching EOL: 1.5M tonnes by 2030
  • Battery recycling capacity growing 25% annually
  • Hydrometallurgical processes achieving 95% recovery
  • EU Battery Regulation mandates recycled content
Policy Drivers
  • EU: 16% recycled cobalt, 6% lithium by 2031
  • US IRA incentives for domestic recycling
  • China targeting 70% battery recycling by 2030
  • Extended Producer Responsibility expanding
Primary source: IEA Global Critical Minerals Outlook 2025

Scenarios:
  • STEPS: Stated Policies Scenario — based on current policies
  • NZE: Net Zero Emissions by 2050 Scenario

Additional sources: USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries 2024, European Commission Critical Raw Materials List, S&P Global, Benchmark Mineral Intelligence

OPPORTUNITY

Multiple sources highlight different aspects of mineral demands are necessary to achieve a net-zero economy, yet a comprehensive overview is difficult to find.

concept

Explore the dashboards below to visualize the demand for critical minerals, where they are sourced from, current recovery rates, and circular economy opportunities.